Flyers seek rebound effort against Islanders

Hockey Betting Lines

02/07/2012 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Philadelphia Flyers will try to rebound after a dismal weekend when they host the New York Islanders for tonight's Atlantic Division battle at the Wells Fargo Center.

The Flyers played divisional opponents on back-to-back days on Saturday and Sunday and lost both tests in regulation while giving up a total of 11 goals. New Jersey notched a 6-4 win Saturday in Philadelphia and the Flyers were then dealt a 5-2 loss by the first-place Rangers in New York City.

Philadelphia, which trails the Rangers by five points for first in the Atlantic, has lost three of four and five of its last eight contests. Although the Flyers are currently seeded fourth in the East, Pittsburgh and the Devils are just two and three points back, respectively.

Normally, the Flyers would feel pretty good about the Islanders making a trip to Philadelphia, but New York halted a 13-game losing streak in the City of Brotherly Love by recording a 4-1 win at the Wells Fargo Center on Jan. 19. Evgeni Nabokov frustrated the Flyers with 40 saves in the Isles' first win in Philly since April 7, 2007.

The Flyers have still taken 26 of 29 overall from the Isles.

Philadelphia expects to get Danny Briere back tonight after the forward sat out the last six games with a concussion. Briere, who has 13 goals and 30 points in 43 games this season, has been taking part in contract drills in practice and the Flyers confirmed that he will be in the lineup tonight on their official Twitter feed.

Flyers forward James van Riemsdyk is still sidelined indefinitely with a concussion.

Philadelphia lost for the fourth time in four meetings against the Rangers this season on Sunday, as Artem Anisimov had a goal and two assists to lead the Blueshirts.

Brayden Schenn and Wayne Simmonds both scored for the Flyers, while Ilya Bryzgalov allowed four goals on 37 shots in the loss. Bryzgalov started Sunday after coming into the previous day's game in relief when Sergei Bobrovsky allowed all six goals against the Devils.

"We had too many turnovers today and they all wound up in the back of the net," said Simmonds.

It's unclear if Bryzgalov or Bobrovsky will get the start tonight. Bobrovsky is 7-1 with a 2.01 goals-against average in nine career games against the Isles, while Bryzgalov is 0-1 with a 5.52 GAA in three tests versus New York.

The Flyers enter tonight having lost four of their last five as the host. Philly is 12-8-4 at home this year compared to an 18-8-2 mark on the road.

The Isles, who are 11 points out of a playoff spot in the East, had won two straight before getting dealt a 4-3 shootout loss by visiting Buffalo on Saturday. Brad Boyes netted the game-winning goal in the first round of the shootout for the Sabres, who trailed 3-1 after the first period at Nassau Coliseum.

Frans Nielsen finished with two goals and an assist and Josh Bailey also scored for the Islanders. Al Montoya stopped 34-of-37 shots.

Isles forward John Tavares has gone without a point in two February games after being named the NHL's First Star of the Month in January. The 21-year- old has 12 points (5 goals, 7 assists) in 15 career tests against the Flyers.

New York has won its last two road games, but is still just 10-11-3 as the visiting team this season.

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How did changes to college football betting rules affect bettors?

The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.

While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.

For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.

1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.

2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.

How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.

Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.

Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.

How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).

Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.

Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.

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